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US regulators on Wednesday are expected to approve a advance to force a bigger slice of trades in the $26tn Treasury market to be cleared centrally, in a landmark reform aimed at bolstering the resilience of one of the world’s most important financial markets.
The Securities and Exchange Commission will vote in Washington on a proposal that could demand an additional $1tn of daily trades to be handled by an independent clearing house. That would mean market participants had to stump up collateral to back those positions or cap the amount they can borrow in so-called repo trades.
US regulators want to shore up the market — which sets the price of US government debt and is the reference point for assets across the globe —following repeated bouts of instability over the past decade, most notably the “dash for cash” that sent Treasuries into freefall at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020. Then, the Fed was forced to buy large amounts of Treasuries to steady the market.
The SEC framework will bring the Treasury market more into line with equities, futures and swaps, where clearing is common. A clearing house stands between a buyer and seller and prevents failed trades from cascading through the market. Only 13 per cent of Treasury trades are fully cleared, while 19 per cent have some part of the trade that is cleared centrally, according to the Treasury Market Practices Group.
Since the financial crisis, hedge funds and high-speed traders have become increasingly dominant in Treasury trading, and many settle their trades bilaterally, rather than going through a central clearing house.
The new regulation could help rein in the proliferation of highly leveraged bets on the Treasury market placed by hedge funds in recent years, which has come under increasing scrutiny from regulators and central banks this year. SEC chair Gary Gensler has also undertaken a broad push to revamp rules for trading, with an agenda that includes more oversight of lightly regulated entities such as hedge funds and proprietary traders.
However, the final govern under discussion by the SEC on Wednesday, will cover fewer Treasuries trades than proposed in a draft version published in September last year.
The final govern applies particularly to the repo market, where banks and investors borrow cash for the short term, offering high-quality collateral such as Treasuries in return, and to some cash trading. Hedge funds and leveraged traders will not be required to centrally clear deals in the cash market, as initially proposed, following pushback from the industry.
Despite the exemption for some cash trading, the revised proposal could capture an additional $1tn of daily repo and reverse repo trades for clearing, according to estimates from DTCC, the main US clearing house for Treasuries.
Many market participants have worried that the reforms could mean that broker-dealers would be required to find extra margin to back their customers’ trades when the market is at its most stretched. To offset those concerns, the SEC is proposing to tweak its rules to ease some margin requirements.
If adopted, the SEC aims for the new rules to come into effect in December 2025 on the cash side and June 2026 on the repo side.
