Labour’s lead over the Conservative Party has dropped 7 points, according to the latest voting intention poll from Savanta.
The poll, conducted over the last weekend (9-11 February) sees Labour on 41% of the vote, down five points from two weeks before, and the Conservatives on 29%, up by two in the same period.
The last time Savanta’s polling showed Labour’s vote share as low as 41% was in September 2022.
Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta said, “This significant drop in Labour’s lead may well be in response to a torrid couple of weeks for Keir Starmer’s party, and part of a wider trend. It may also be something else entirely, and I’d caution people not to read too much into one poll – yet.”
“But this poll still serves as useful a reminder as any that Labour’s lead – while consistently high for many months – is not infallible. Voters have not quite made up their mind about Keir Starmer’s Labour Party, and doubts could well be creeping back in.”
“One thing is for certain, if this drop in the polls is a consequence of their recent troubles, it does not bode well for a short campaign. A Conservative machine in full swing and the inevitable increased scrutiny from the media may well be very uncomfortable for the Labour Party.”
The last time Savanta’s polling showed Labour’s lead as low as 12 points was June 2023.