Retail sales volumes slumped by a higher-than-forecast 3.2 per cent in December from November, marking the biggest decline in nearly three years, fresh data from the Office for National Statistics shows.
The FTSE 100 will open 8am. Among the companies with reports and trading updates today are DFS Furniture, Deliveroo and Wincanton. Read the Friday 19 January Business Live blog below.
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Deliveroo ups guidance
Deliveroo expects 2023 earnings to be ‘slightly’ ahead of the £60million to £80million forecast in previous guidance, with the total value of orders on its platform having risen by 3 per cent.
Founder and chief executive Will Shu said the company delivered a good performance in the UK and Ireland in the fourth quarter, and its international business returned to growth.
‘As we saw ongoing signs of stabilisation in consumer behaviour in the quarter, we continued to invest in the consumer value proposition to lay the foundations for future growth,’ he said.
Retail sales slump: Pressure on UK consumer ‘may be intensifying’
Charlie Huggins, manager of the Quality Shares Portfolio at Wealth Club:
‘Retail sales volumes ended the year on a sour note, registering the largest monthly decline since January 2021.
‘Partly, this is because UK consumers did their Christmas shopping early this year. Nevertheless, December’s decrease was much worse than expected and suggests pressure on the UK consumer may be intensifying.
‘Results from retailers themselves over Christmas paint a very mixed picture. The supermarkets fared reasonably well, as did Next and M&S.
‘But sales from the likes of JD Sports and Superdry have been very disappointing. This suggests UK consumers are becoming more choosy about where to spend their money.
‘Whether December’s weak retail sales are a blip or the start of a more worrying trend remains to be seen. But one thing’s for sure – despite optimism around interest rate cuts, the UK economy certainly isn’t out of the woods.’
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‘Shocking end to the Golden Quarter’ for retailers
Jacqui Baker, head of retail at RSM UK:
‘After a slight uptick in November, we’ve seen the biggest fall this year in December, marking a shocking end to the Golden Quarter. Black Friday tempted some consumers to bring forward their spending to November, but ongoing cost-of-living pressures meant most households cut back across all retail categories.
‘This meant retailers were forced to prolong their heavy discounting into December to shift stock which will have been a big hit to margins.
‘Last year was a challenge for retailers and sadly this looks set to continue into 2024. Despite consumer confidence increasing and real wages rising, inflation had a slight setback in December showing just how fragile the economy is.
‘As a whole, things are slowly improving but consumers probably won’t start to feel like they have more money in their pocket until the summer. After a challenging year, another six months of tough trading could be too long for some retailers.
‘To compound the problem and hit retailers when they’re down, disruption from events in the Red Sea, and the possibility of cost increases and supply delays could be another headwind they have to navigate this year.
‘This could be particularly damaging for fast fashion that relies on speed to deliver the latest trends at the right price.’
Retail sales fall
Retail sales volumes slumped by 3.2 per cent in December from November, marking the biggest decline in nearly three years, fresh data from the Office for National Statistics shows.
Economists had forecast a 0.5 per cent dip and the disappointing figures could risk a contraction in the British economy for the fourth quarter.
The ONS said retail sales are likely to subtract 0.04 percentage points from British economic output in the fourth quarter.
‘Food stores performed very poorly, with their steepest fall since May 2021 as early Christmas shopping led to slow December sales,’ Heather Bovill, deputy director for surveys and economic indicators at the ONS said.
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BUSINESS LIVE: Retail sales fall; Deliveroo ups guidance; DFS demand slowdown
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