The Bahnsen Group CIO David Bahnsen previews Fed Chair Jay Powell’s testimony before Congress and shares his expectations for upcoming job data.
U.S. employers added 275,000 jobs in February, higher than economist estimates and the average monthly gain of 255,000 recorded in 2023, the Labor Department reported on Friday. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. Still, the blockbuster 353,000 gain in January was revised down to 229,000.
Average hourly earnings, a key measure of inflation, increased 0.1% for the month and climbed 4.3% from the same time one year ago. Strong job growth combined with rising wages is fueling inflation, according to some economists.
NUMBER OF HIGH-PAYING JOBS IS DWINDLING
The data may not be enough for the Federal Reserve, which is looking for inflation and the economy to slow, to begin its rate-cutting cycle, which would also come heading into the 2024 presidential election.
WASHINGTON, DC – MARCH 7: Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Jerome Powell arrives for a Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing on Capitol Hillon March, 7 2024 in Washington, DC. Powell testified during a hearing titled “The Semiannua ( (Photo by Kent Nishimura/Getty Images))
Earlier this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that stance during his annual testimony before Congress.
“The committee does not expect that it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%,” he said in remarks prepared for testimony before the House Financial Services Committee.
Higher rates have consumers paying more for things such as auto loans and credit cards. As an example, the average percentage rate (APR) for credit cards is 24.61%, as tracked by Lending Tree.
LOWER INFLATION KEY TO FED CUTTING INTEREST RATES
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Currently, the market is expecting the first rate cut to come in June, as tracked by the CME’s FedWatch Tool.
FOX Business’ Megan Henney contributed to this report.
