The following segment was excerpted from this fund letter.
MRC Global (NYSE:MRC)
Another recent addition to our portfolio is MRC Global, a distributor to oil & gas drillers, natural gas utilities, and other industries-think fittings, valves, pipes, and the like.
MRC is an “ok” business-neither wonderful nor terrible, but simply boring and profitable. It is exposed to the ups and downs of the oil & gas market, but it has made strides to diversify its business into other, less cyclical markets. Most importantly, MRC has an unimpressive track record as a public company and some unhappy owners, and for those reasons I believe the company will be sold.
MRC Global’s history stretches back to its founding in 1921, as McJunkin Supply Company. The company would enjoy several decades of prosperity, culminating in a large investment from Goldman Sachs in 2006. Following a series of mergers and acquisitions, Goldman renamed the company “MRC Global”, took it public in 2012, and then sold its remaining MRC shares the following year. This exit was well-timed, as MRC shares soon began a long decline, driven by a combination of inopportune investments and excess financial leverage. In 2015, urgently needing capital, the company turned to respected dealmaker Henry Cornell, a Goldman alum who was instrumental in MRC’s creation. Cornell Capital put up $363 million to buy convertible preferred stock and MRC used the fresh capital to pay down debt and restore its firepower for additional acquisitions.
Cornell probably expected to earn a good cash yield for a few years, then convert the preferred shares and sell as MRC’s profits recovered and its valuation grew, but the rebound never really came. Following the investment, MRC’s operating income reached only around 1/3 of 2013 levels before another round of write-offs and losses in 2020 as COVID caused energy demand to plummet. Recent results have been better-the company has built a good line of business supplying gas utilities and industrials, and debt has been paid down substantially-but MRC has been a disappointment for Cornell Capital.
Turning to the present, MRC has a term loan that comes due in September 2024. The company wants to refinance the loan, but Cornell Capital, which clearly wants out of this underwhelming investment, has blocked its efforts to date, filing a lawsuit claiming MRC must seek Cornell’s consent on the terms of the new debt. MRC expects to be able to pay off the term loan by drawing on its asset-backed line of credit, but this is a less than ideal solution. Enter activist Engine Capital, owner of 4% of MRC Global shares. Engine Capital has called for MRC Global to seek a sale, arguing it is the best way to cash out Cornell Capital and achieve a satisfactory result for all shareholders. In Engine’s view, MRC’s expressed strategy of continued mergers and acquisitions is unfeasible given the risks of ongoing litigation with Cornell Capital and MRC’s high cost of capital. I wholeheartedly agree. On October 30, Bloomberg reported that MRC Global is working with financial advisors to explore a sale. If MRC Global is sold, I believe it could fetch a price in the mid-to-high teens.
To recap: MRC’s biggest capital provider is unhappy; an activist is unhappy; long-term shareholders likely are too, having lost half their investment since the IPO; and management can’t be having much fun either with the headache of litigation and the looming term loan maturity. Something has to give, and I believe it will be MRC Global’s existence as an independent public company.
Disclosures Investment in Alluvial Fund are subject to risk, including the risk of permanent loss. Alluvial Fund’s strategy may experience greater volatility and drawdowns than market indexes. An investment in Alluvial Fund is not intended to be a complete investment program and is not intended for shortterm investment. Before investing, potential limited partners should carefully evaluate their financial situation and their ability to tolerate volatility. Alluvial Capital Management, LLC believes the figures, calculations and statistics included in this letter to be correct but provides no warranty against errors in calculation or transcription. Alluvial Capital Management, LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor. This communication does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment securities. Performance Notes Net performance figures are for a typical limited partner under the standard fee arrangement. Returns for partners’ capital accounts may vary depending on individual fee arrangements. Alluvial Fund, LP has a fiscal year end of December 31, 2023 and is subject to an annual audit by Cohen & Company. Performance figures for year-to-date periods are calculated by NAV Consulting, Inc. Year-to-date figures are unaudited and are subject to change. Gross performance figures are reported net of all partnership expenses. Net performance figures for Alluvial Fund, LP are reported net of all partnership expenses, management fees, and performance incentive fees. Contact Alluvial welcomes inquiries from clients and potential clients. Please visit our website at Alluvial Capital Management, LLC, or contact Dave Waters at info@alluvialcapital.com or (412) 368-2321. |
Editor’s Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.